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Champions League matchday 8: what every team needs

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Updated 28 September 2026, 2026/27 league phase

Champions League matchday 8 is played on 27 January across 18 fixtures. The most is at stake for Leipzig: a win would lift their chances of going through to 72%, a defeat would drop them to 33%.

Matchday 8 fixtures

Model probabilities for each fixture: home win, draw, away win.

  1. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Arsenal – Sabah 95% · 4% · 1%
  2. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe 63% · 21% · 16%
  3. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Barcelona – Como 71% · 18% · 11%
  4. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Bayern München – Real Betis 75% · 16% · 9%
  5. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens 68% · 19% · 13%
  6. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt 48% · 25% · 27%
  7. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Feyenoord – Leipzig 37% · 26% · 36%
  8. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 LASK – Porto 21% · 24% · 56%
  9. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Liverpool – Lens 72% · 18% · 11%
  10. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Manchester City – Sporting CP 63% · 21% · 16%
  11. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Napoli – Viking 78% · 15% · 8%
  12. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray 78% · 14% · 7%
  13. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart 43% · 26% · 31%
  14. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Roma – Lille 50% · 25% · 25%
  15. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid 12% · 19% · 70%
  16. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Slavia Praha – Aston Villa 22% · 24% · 54%
  17. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Slovan Bratislava – Inter 9% · 16% · 75%
  18. Wed 27 Jan, 21:00 Villarreal – Manchester United 38% · 26% · 35%

Who has the most at stake

The teams whose chances of going through move most with this matchday's result.

TeamFixtureNowIf they winIf they lose
LeipzigFeyenoord – Leipzig51%72%33%
LilleRoma – Lille45%70%32%
AEK AthensBorussia Dortmund – AEK Athens44%74%36%
Bodø/GlimtClub Brugge – Bodø/Glimt40%64%28%
FeyenoordFeyenoord – Leipzig47%66%30%

Frequently asked questions

When is Champions League matchday 8 played?

On 27 January, across 18 fixtures.

Which team has the most at stake on matchday 8?

Leipzig. A win lifts their chances of going through to 72%, a defeat drops them to 33% — a swing of about 39 percentage points.

What does the table look like before matchday 8?

Paris Saint-Germain lead with 3 points. The full table with every team's chances is on the Champions League page.

How many points are needed to qualify?

In the simulations 16 points usually secure the top 8, and 9 points are usually enough for 24th place or better.

Other matchdays