Real Betis vs Porto: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Real Betis9th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Porto31st, 0 pts
40%Real Betis win
26%Draw
34%Porto win
The model gives Real Betis a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Porto 34%. Real Betis's chance of going through is 82% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 68%. Porto's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 84%, a defeat to 53%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Real Betis: top 8 | Real Betis: through | Porto: top 8 | Porto: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 12% | 82% | 6% | 66% |
| Real Betis win | 22% | 94% | 2% | 53% |
| Draw | 9% | 81% | 4% | 64% |
| Porto win | 4% | 68% | 13% | 84% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart