Knockout Math
Latviski

Feyenoord vs Como: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 18:45

Feyenoord33rd, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
Como5th, 3 pts
40%Feyenoord win
26%Draw
34%Como win

The model gives Feyenoord a 40% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Como 34%. Feyenoord's chance of going through is 47% now: a win would take it to 65%, a defeat to 30%. Como's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 93%, a defeat to 65%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

Feyenoord: top 8Feyenoord: throughComo: top 8Como: through
Now3%47%10%78%
Feyenoord win5%65%4%65%
Draw1%42%8%78%
Como win1%30%19%93%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%

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