Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Wednesday 14 October, 21:00
Shakhtar Donetsk18th, 1 pts
–Matchday 2
AEK Athens16th, 3 pts
47%Shakhtar Donetsk win
26%Draw
28%AEK Athens win
The model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and AEK Athens 28%. Shakhtar Donetsk's chance of going through is 44% now: a win would take it to 61%, a defeat to 24%. AEK Athens's chance of going through is 42% now: a win would take it to 68%, a defeat to 27%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Shakhtar Donetsk: top 8 | Shakhtar Donetsk: through | AEK Athens: top 8 | AEK Athens: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 2% | 44% | 2% | 42% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 3% | 61% | <1% | 27% |
| Draw | 1% | 36% | 1% | 40% |
| AEK Athens win | <1% | 24% | 4% | 68% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart