Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 21:00
Leipzig32nd, 0 pts
–Matchday 2
PSV Eindhoven20th, 1 pts
45%Leipzig win
26%Draw
29%PSV Eindhoven win
The model gives Leipzig a 45% chance of winning, a draw 26% and PSV Eindhoven 29%. Leipzig's chance of going through is 57% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 37%. PSV Eindhoven's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 86%, a defeat to 53%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Leipzig: top 8 | Leipzig: through | PSV Eindhoven: top 8 | PSV Eindhoven: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 4% | 57% | 6% | 66% |
| Leipzig win | 7% | 73% | 2% | 53% |
| Draw | 2% | 49% | 5% | 67% |
| PSV Eindhoven win | 1% | 37% | 14% | 86% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Lens – Sporting CP
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart