Lens vs Sporting CP: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 2 · Tuesday 13 October, 18:45
Lens10th, 3 pts
–Matchday 2
Sporting CP6th, 3 pts
37%Lens win
26%Draw
36%Sporting CP win
The model gives Lens a 37% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Sporting CP 36%. Lens's chance of going through is 76% now: a win would take it to 90%, a defeat to 62%. Sporting CP's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 82%. The most likely score is 1–1 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Lens: top 8 | Lens: through | Sporting CP: top 8 | Sporting CP: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 10% | 76% | 21% | 89% |
| Lens win | 18% | 90% | 10% | 82% |
| Draw | 7% | 74% | 16% | 89% |
| Sporting CP win | 3% | 62% | 35% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
Other matchday 2 fixtures
- Sabah – Slavia Praha
- Arsenal – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Manchester United
- Inter – Club Brugge
- Galatasaray – Barcelona
- Leipzig – PSV Eindhoven
- Viking – Bayern München
- Villarreal – Napoli
- Feyenoord – Como
- LASK – Liverpool
- Roma – Real Madrid
- Aston Villa – Fenerbahçe
- Shakhtar Donetsk – AEK Athens
- Bodø/Glimt – Borussia Dortmund
- Manchester City – Paris Saint-Germain
- Real Betis – Porto
- Slovan Bratislava – Stuttgart