Porto vs Slavia Praha: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 7 · Tuesday 19 January, 21:00
Porto31st, 0 pts
–Matchday 7
Slavia Praha22nd, 0 pts
60%Porto win
22%Draw
18%Slavia Praha win
The model gives Porto a 60% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Slavia Praha 18%. Porto's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 78%, a defeat to 42%. Slavia Praha's chance of going through is 21% now: a win would take it to 46%, a defeat to 13%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Porto: top 8 | Porto: through | Slavia Praha: top 8 | Slavia Praha: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6% | 66% | <1% | 21% |
| Porto win | 9% | 78% | <1% | 13% |
| Draw | 2% | 55% | <1% | 22% |
| Slavia Praha win | 1% | 42% | 1% | 46% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Sporting CP – Barcelona
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven