Sporting CP vs Barcelona: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 7 · Wednesday 20 January, 21:00
Sporting CP6th, 3 pts
–Matchday 7
Barcelona3rd, 3 pts
23%Sporting CP win
25%Draw
52%Barcelona win
The model gives Sporting CP a 23% chance of winning, a draw 25% and Barcelona 52%. Sporting CP's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 85%. Barcelona's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to 100%, a defeat to 98%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Sporting CP: top 8 | Sporting CP: through | Barcelona: top 8 | Barcelona: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 21% | 89% | 69% | 99% |
| Sporting CP win | 41% | 98% | 47% | 98% |
| Draw | 21% | 91% | 61% | 99% |
| Barcelona win | 11% | 85% | 82% | 100% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
0–112%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%
Other matchday 7 fixtures
- Bodø/Glimt – Atlético de Madrid
- Galatasaray – Feyenoord
- AEK Athens – Roma
- Aston Villa – Borussia Dortmund
- Inter – Liverpool
- Porto – Slavia Praha
- Lille – Slovan Bratislava
- Real Madrid – LASK
- Stuttgart – Club Brugge
- Fenerbahçe – Villarreal
- Sabah – Napoli
- Como – Paris Saint-Germain
- Manchester United – Bayern München
- Leipzig – Shakhtar Donetsk
- Lens – Manchester City
- Real Betis – Arsenal
- Viking – PSV Eindhoven