Knockout Math
Latviski

PSV Eindhoven vs Stuttgart: what's at stake in the Champions League?

← Champions League: full table and chances

Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00

PSV Eindhoven20th, 1 pts
–Matchday 8
Stuttgart7th, 3 pts
44%PSV Eindhoven win
26%Draw
30%Stuttgart win

The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 44% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Stuttgart 30%. PSV Eindhoven's chance of going through is 66% now: a win would take it to 81%, a defeat to 49%. Stuttgart's chance of going through is 88% now: a win would take it to 97%, a defeat to 81%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).

What each result means

Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.

PSV Eindhoven: top 8PSV Eindhoven: throughStuttgart: top 8Stuttgart: through
Now6%66%20%88%
PSV Eindhoven win11%81%11%81%
Draw3%60%18%89%
Stuttgart win1%49%37%97%

Most likely scores

The most likely exact scores according to the model.

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%

Other matchday 8 fixtures