Barcelona vs Como: what's at stake in the Champions League?
← Champions League: full table and chances
Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Barcelona3rd, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Como5th, 3 pts
72%Barcelona win
17%Draw
11%Como win
The model gives Barcelona a 72% chance of winning, a draw 17% and Como 11%. Barcelona's chance of going through is 99% now: a win would take it to >99%, a defeat to 97%. Como's chance of going through is 78% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 73%. The most likely score is 2–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Barcelona: top 8 | Barcelona: through | Como: top 8 | Como: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 69% | 99% | 10% | 78% |
| Barcelona win | 77% | >99% | 7% | 73% |
| Draw | 54% | 99% | 13% | 84% |
| Como win | 41% | 97% | 29% | 95% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Arsenal – Sabah
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter