Arsenal vs Sabah: what's at stake in the Champions League?
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Matchday 8 · Wednesday 27 January, 21:00
Arsenal15th, 3 pts
–Matchday 8
Sabah34th, 0 pts
94%Arsenal win
5%Draw
1%Sabah win
The model gives Arsenal a 94% chance of winning, a draw 5% and Sabah 1%. Arsenal's top-8 chance is 77% now: a win would take it to 78%, a defeat to 42%. Sabah's chance of going through is 2% now: a win would take it to 9%, a defeat to 2%. The most likely score is 3–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Arsenal: top 8 | Arsenal: through | Sabah: top 8 | Sabah: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 77% | >99% | <1% | 2% |
| Arsenal win | 78% | >99% | <1% | 2% |
| Draw | 55% | 99% | <1% | 4% |
| Sabah win | 42% | 98% | 0% | 9% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
3–013%
4–013%
5–010%
2–010%
6–07%
3–15%
Other matchday 8 fixtures
- Roma – Lille
- Atlético de Madrid – Fenerbahçe
- Borussia Dortmund – AEK Athens
- Club Brugge – Bodø/Glimt
- Bayern München – Real Betis
- Barcelona – Como
- Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid
- Feyenoord – Leipzig
- LASK – Porto
- Liverpool – Lens
- Manchester City – Sporting CP
- Paris Saint-Germain – Galatasaray
- PSV Eindhoven – Stuttgart
- Slavia Praha – Aston Villa
- Napoli – Viking
- Villarreal – Manchester United
- Slovan Bratislava – Inter