Twente vs Kairat Almaty: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
TwenteLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
Kairat AlmatyLeague phase not started yet
61%Twente win
22%Draw
17%Kairat Almaty win
The model gives Twente a 61% chance of winning, a draw 22% and Kairat Almaty 17%. Twente's chance of going through is 89% now: a win would take it to 95%, a defeat to 73%. Kairat Almaty's chance of going through is 43% now: a win would take it to 73%, a defeat to 33%. The most likely score is 1–0 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Twente: top 8 | Twente: through | Kairat Almaty: top 8 | Kairat Almaty: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 36% | 89% | 4% | 43% |
| Twente win | 48% | 95% | 2% | 33% |
| Draw | 22% | 83% | 4% | 47% |
| Kairat Almaty win | 13% | 73% | 14% | 73% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen