Monaco vs Lincoln Red Imps: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
MonacoLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
Lincoln Red ImpsLeague phase not started yet
88%Monaco win
8%Draw
3%Lincoln Red Imps win
The model gives Monaco a 88% chance of winning, a draw 8% and Lincoln Red Imps 3%. Monaco's chance of going through is 95% now: a win would take it to 96%, a defeat to 78%. Lincoln Red Imps's chance of going through is 11% now: a win would take it to 42%, a defeat to 9%. The most likely score is 3–0 (13%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Monaco: top 8 | Monaco: through | Lincoln Red Imps: top 8 | Lincoln Red Imps: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 52% | 95% | <1% | 11% |
| Monaco win | 55% | 96% | <1% | 9% |
| Draw | 27% | 86% | 1% | 18% |
| Lincoln Red Imps win | 19% | 78% | 4% | 42% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
3–013%
2–012%
4–011%
1–08%
5–07%
3–17%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Ajax – Getafe
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen