Inter Escaldes vs Aarhus: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
Inter EscaldesLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
AarhusLeague phase not started yet
19%Inter Escaldes win
23%Draw
58%Aarhus win
The model gives Inter Escaldes a 19% chance of winning, a draw 23% and Aarhus 58%. Inter Escaldes's chance of going through is 12% now: a win would take it to 32%, a defeat to 6%. Aarhus's chance of going through is 79% now: a win would take it to 89%, a defeat to 58%. The most likely score is 0–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Inter Escaldes: top 8 | Inter Escaldes: through | Aarhus: top 8 | Aarhus: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 12% | 24% | 79% |
| Inter Escaldes win | 2% | 32% | 8% | 58% |
| Draw | <1% | 12% | 14% | 71% |
| Aarhus win | <1% | 6% | 33% | 89% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
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- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen