Ajax vs Getafe: what's at stake in the Conference League?
← Conference League: full table and chances
Matchday 6 · Thursday 17 December, 21:00
AjaxLeague phase not started yet
–Matchday 6
GetafeLeague phase not started yet
47%Ajax win
26%Draw
28%Getafe win
The model gives Ajax a 47% chance of winning, a draw 26% and Getafe 28%. Ajax's chance of going through is 84% now: a win would take it to 94%, a defeat to 71%. Getafe's chance of going through is 91% now: a win would take it to 98%, a defeat to 87%. The most likely score is 1–1 (12%).
What each result means
Both teams' chances of finishing in the top 8 and going through (top 24) depending on this result, from the simulations.
| Ajax: top 8 | Ajax: through | Getafe: top 8 | Getafe: through | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 30% | 84% | 42% | 91% |
| Ajax win | 45% | 94% | 27% | 87% |
| Draw | 22% | 80% | 42% | 93% |
| Getafe win | 12% | 71% | 67% | 98% |
Most likely scores
The most likely exact scores according to the model.
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
Other matchday 6 fixtures
- Monaco – Lincoln Red Imps
- Atalanta – Mjällby
- Lugano – Sint-Truidense
- Midtjylland – Hajduk Split
- Nordsjælland – KuPS Kuopio
- Twente – Kairat Almaty
- Borac – Riga FC
- Crvena Zvezda – Trabzonspor
- Jablonec – Iberia Tbilisi
- Kauno Žalgiris – Freiburg
- Inter Escaldes – Aarhus
- Gent – Brann
- Pafos – Hearts
- Panathinaikos – Brighton
- CSKA Sofia – Thun
- Braga – Egnatia
- Universitatea Craiova – Copenhagen